Oscar-Night Predictions

I have changed my mind a lot about all of these since the nominations came out, including Best Picture, Best Director, and Best Actor. And I'm sort of delighted about how few of these I feel truly confident about. I'm really in it for the surprises, as I always say. But in any case, here's who I think is going to win:

• Best Picture: Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
• Best Director: Alejandro González Iñárritu, Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
• Best Actor: Eddie Redmayne, The Theory of Everything
• Best Actress: Julianne Moore, Still Alice
• Best Adapted Screenplay: Graham Moore, The Imitation Game
• Best Original Screenplay: Wes Anderson, The Grand Budapest Hotel
• Best Supporting Actor: JK Simmons, Whiplash
• Best Supporting Actress: Patricia Arquette, Boyhood
• Best Cinematography: Emmanuel Lubezki, Birdman or (the Unexpected Virtue of Ignorance)
• Best Film Editing: Sandra Adair, Boyhood
• Best Original Score: Jóhann Jóhannson, The Theory of Everything
• Best Foreign Language Film: Ida

• Best Production Design: Adam Stockhausen & Anna Pinnock, The Grand Budapest Hotel
• Best Costume Design: Milena Canonero, The Grand Budapest Hotel
• Best Documentary Feature: Citizenfour
• Best Documentary Short Film: Crisis Hotline: Veterans Press 1
• Best Animated Feature: How to Train Your Dragon 2
• Best Animated Short Film: Feast
• Best Live-action Short Film: The Phone Call
• Best Visual Effects: Interstellar
• Best Sound Mixing: Craig Mann & Ben Wilkins & Thomas Curley, Whiplash
• Best Sound Editing: Alan Robert Murray & Bub Asman, American Sniper
• Best Make-up and Hair: Frances Hannon & Mark Coulier, The Grand Budapest Hotel
• Best Original Song: John Legend & Common, Selma

As for who I am rooting for?  
Grand Budapest Hotel, Ida, Selma, Whiplash, and The Dam Keeper all the way.
Anything that any of those films win will make me very, very happy.